Yuro ya faɗi ƙasa da daidaito akan dala

Ma'aunin DOLLAR, wanda ya haura sama da 107 a makon da ya gabata, ya ci gaba da karuwa a wannan makon, inda ya kai matsayinsa mafi girma tun watan Oktoban 2002 na dare kusa da 108.19.

Ya zuwa karfe 17:30 na ranar 12 ga watan Yuli, agogon Beijing, adadin dalar Amurka ya kai 108.3.Za a fito da mu na watan Yuni CPI ranar Laraba, lokacin gida.A halin yanzu, bayanan da ake sa ran suna da ƙarfi, wanda zai iya ƙarfafa tushen Tarayyar Tarayya don haɓaka yawan riba ta hanyar maki 75 (BP) a watan Yuli.

Barclays ya wallafa wani hangen nesa na kudin mai taken "Dala mai tsada shine jimlar duk haɗarin wutsiya", wanda ya zama kamar ya taƙaita dalilan ƙarfin dala - rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, ƙarancin iskar gas a Turai, hauhawar farashin mu da zai iya haɓaka dala mafi girma. a kan manyan kudade da kuma hadarin koma bayan tattalin arziki.Ko da mafi yawansu suna tunanin cewa dala za ta iya wuce gona da iri a cikin dogon lokaci, waɗannan haɗarin na iya haifar da dala ta wuce gona da iri cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci.

Mintunan taron manufofin kuɗi na Kwamitin Budaddiyar Kasuwar Tarayya na watan Yuni, wanda aka fitar a makon da ya gabata, ya nuna cewa jami’an hukumar ba su tattauna kan koma bayan tattalin arziki ba.An mayar da hankali kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki (wanda aka ambata fiye da sau 20) da kuma shirye-shiryen haɓaka ƙimar riba a cikin watanni masu zuwa.Fed ya fi damuwa game da hauhawar farashi mai girma ya zama "tsatsa" fiye da haɗarin yiwuwar koma bayan tattalin arziki, wanda kuma ya haɓaka tsammanin ƙarin tashin hankali.

A nan gaba, duk da'irori ba su yarda cewa DOLLAR za ta yi rauni sosai ba, kuma ƙarfin yana iya ci gaba."Kasuwa yanzu tana yin fare da kashi 92.7% akan hauhawar farashin 75BP a taron Fed na Yuli 27 zuwa kewayon 2.25% -2.5%."Daga mahangar fasaha, index DOLLAR zai nuna juriya a 109.50 bayan karya matakin 106.80, Yang Aozheng, babban manazarcin kasar Sin a FXTM Futuo, ya shaida wa manema labarai.

Joe Perry, babban manazarci a Jassein, shi ma ya shaida wa manema labarai cewa index DOLLAR ya yi girma cikin tsari tun watan Mayu 2021, yana haifar da tafarki mai tasowa.A cikin Afrilu 2022, ya bayyana a fili cewa Fed zai haɓaka rates da sauri fiye da yadda ake tsammani.A cikin wata daya kacal, lissafin DOLLAR ya tashi daga kusan 100 zuwa kusan 105, ya koma 101.30 sannan ya sake tashi.A ranar 6 ga Yuli, ya tsaya a kan yanayin sama kuma kwanan nan ya tsawaita nasarorinsa.Bayan alamar 108, "babban juriya shine Satumba 2002 high na 109.77 da Satumba 2001 low na 111.31."Perry yace.

A gaskiya ma, aikin dala mai karfi ya fi girma "tsara", kudin Euro ya kusan kusan 60% na index DOLLAR, raunin Yuro ya ba da gudummawa ga lissafin dala, ci gaba da rauni na yen da Sterling kuma sun ba da gudummawa ga dala. .

Hadarin koma bayan tattalin arziki a kasashen dake amfani da kudin Euro yanzu ya zarce na Amurka saboda tsananin tasirin da ake yi a Turai na Rikicin tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine.A baya-bayan nan Goldman Sachs ya sanya kasadar tattalin arzikin Amurka shiga cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki a shekara mai zuwa da kashi 30 cikin 100, idan aka kwatanta da kashi 40 cikin 100 na masu amfani da kudin Euro da kashi 45 na Burtaniya.Don haka ne babban bankin Turai ke yin taka-tsan-tsan wajen kara yawan kudin ruwa, ko da kuwa ana fuskantar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.Yurozone CPI ya tashi zuwa 8.4% a watan Yuni kuma ainihin CPI zuwa 3.9%, amma yanzu ana tsammanin ECB zai haɓaka ƙimar riba ta 25BP kawai a taronta na Yuli 15, sabanin tsammanin Fed na ƙimar ƙimar fiye da 300BP. wannan shekara.

Yana da kyau a ambata cewa kamfanin The Nord Stream Natural Gas bututun ya ce ya rufe wasu layukan bututun iskar gas na Nord Stream 1 na wani dan lokaci daga karfe 7 na yamma agogon Moscow a ranar don aikin kulawa na yau da kullun, RIA Novosti ta ruwaito a ranar 11 ga Nuwamba. Yanzu da karancin iskar gas na lokacin sanyi a Turai abu ne tabbatacce kuma matsin lamba yana karuwa, wannan na iya zama bambaro da ke karya bayan rakumi, a cewar hukumar.

A ranar 12 ga watan Yuli, agogon Beijing, kudin Yuro ya fadi kasa daidai da dalar Amurka zuwa 0.9999 a karon farko cikin kusan shekaru 20.Ya zuwa karfe 16:30 na ranar, Yuro na cinikin kusan 1.002.

"Eurusd da ke ƙasa da 1 na iya haifar da wasu manyan odar tasha-asara, haifar da sabbin odar siyar da kuma haifar da rashin daidaituwa," in ji Perry ga manema labarai.A fasaha, akwai tallafi a kusa da yankunan 0.9984 da 0.9939-0.9950.Amma shekara-shekara na nuna rashin daidaituwa ya karu zuwa 18.89 kuma ya sanya buƙatun kuma ya karu, yana nuna cewa 'yan kasuwa suna sanya kansu don yuwuwar pop / fasa a wannan makon.


Lokacin aikawa: Jul-13-2022